Counter-Revolution
Posted on Sunday, August 16, 2009 by J. Robert Gough
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by Flynn
Obamacare is dead.
Not officially, mind you. There will be many more town halls and more twists. The drug companies will send millions on ads to try to save the Democrat proposals. (Read that sentence again...ironic, isn't it? The left's only hope now is the deep pockets of big PhRMA.) But, even if some kind of health care legislation emerges from Congress (even money), there won't be a public option or any kind of universal coverage. Neither will there be any end-of-life counseling nor, more importantly, the real origin of the "death panel" charge; the expert panel charged with evaluating the most effective treatments.
If you think I'm just peddling scare tactics, check out this interview the President did with the New York Times in April. Read this quote carefully, about his grandmother getting a hip replacement in her final months:
Whether, sort of in the aggregate, society making those decisions to give my grandmother, or everybody else's aging grandparents or parents, a hip replacement when they're terminally ill is a sustainable model, is a very difficult question.
Then, there's this, again from the President:
I mean, the chronically ill and those toward the end of their lives are accounting for potentially 80 percent of the total health care bill out here.
When asked how to deal with this, Obama said:
Well, I think that there is going to have to be a conversation that is guided by doctors, scientists, ethicists. And then there is going to have to be a very difficult democratic conversation that takes place. It is very difficult to imagine the country making those decisions just through the normal political channels. And that's part of why you have to have some independent group that can give you guidance. It's not determinative, but I think has to be able to give you some guidance. And that's part of what I suspect you'll see emerging out of the various health care conversations that are taking place on the Hill right now.
Add in that Obama has stated the foundational reason we need to pass Obamacare is to control costs, and it is easy to understand why some people are terrified. At least half the money to expand insurance coverage is supposed to come through "cost-savings" in Medicaid and Medicare, the existing "public options". The President believes that 80% of our health care spending is on the chronically ill and those at the end of their lives. And, he's creating a panel of experts...including "ethicists"...to give "guidance" on which treatments to perform. (If it looks like a death panel and walks like a death panel...)
There are a lot of reasons for the inevitable failure of Obamacare. Personally, I think the existence of Medicare is a big factor. Senior citizens, the demographic most likely to vote in massive numbers, already has universal health care. They gain nothing from passage of Obamacare. Indeed, they stand to lose, since a lot of the proposal is predicated on "cost savings" from their health program.
No wonder they're showing up at townhalls. Which brings us to the absolute reason Obamacare will fail. Despite what they say in the press and to the leftist base, Democrat lawmakers know the townhall gatherings are real and organic. They aren't part of any industry-funded astro-turf campaign. (Which industry presumably is funding this? The drug companies support Obamacare because they'll make billions. The American Medical Association supports it because they get slightly higher reimbursement rates. And, the insurance companies support most of it because the proposals would force every American to have or purchase health insurance.)
[I'm in a position to know something about this. Trust me, there is no business group in DC guiding the town hall events. They have neither the creativity, capacity nor stomach to pull this off.]
No, the backlash you're witnessing is very real. And it is reflected in the polls. Meanwhile, the left has to pay people to show up at town halls.
When Congress returns in September, the thoughts of the members will turn to their own reelection. As the season turns to Fall, the members in DC will watch the GOP make serious runs at the governerships of Virginia and New Jersey (!). That's when the real fear will set in. The Democrat leadership went "a bridge too far", and everyone knows it.
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